Dynamics of access to electricity and expected demand in electricity under full electrification in Senegal.

Анотація

The research was devoted to the analysis of the dynamics of access to electricity to
evaluate the expected annual demand in electricity under full electrification in Senegal. During the
last decade, the moderately positive dynamics of the population's access to electricity were observed
but the problem of access remains unresolved for most of the rural and remote regions. The expected
annual demand in electricity for populations, which today stay without access to electricity, was
evaluated by two methods. In the first method, the statistical data of average annual electricity
consumption per capita were used. The second method was grounded on theoretically estimated
annual electricity consumption for a household with minimal living standards. The most trustable
value of expected annual demand was obtained by the first method. In the case on-grid connection
the expected annual demand can be partially covered by a reduction of losses in transmission and
distribution networks. In other cases, for populations in rural and remote areas, demand can be
satisfied by renewable energy trough connection consumers to mini-grids or standalone systems.